Support for Hungary’s ruling Tisza Party increased further in May while backing for Fidesz–KDNP declined, according to a new poll published by Republikon Institute on Thursday.
The survey, conducted by telephone between 8 May and 13 May among 1,000 adults, found that the Tisza Party is currently supported by 57 per cent of the total population, while Fidesz–KDNP stands at 23 per cent.
According to the poll, voter engagement remains exceptionally high following the April parliamentary election. Some 89 per cent of respondents said they would definitely participate if an election were held this Sunday, a figure notably higher than turnout expectations before the election itself and even above the roughly 80 per cent participation rate recorded at the vote.
Republikon said the election result and subsequent political developments appear to have had a strong mobilizing effect on voters.
The poll found that support for Magyar Péter’s Tisza Party is now more than double that of Fidesz–KDNP. Among the total population, Our Homeland Movement stood at 5 per cent, while the Democratic Coalition and the Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party each registered 1 per cent support.
Among decided party voters, roughly two-thirds said they would vote for Tisza, while Fidesz–KDNP received 27 per cent support. Our Homeland Movement stood at 6 per cent among party voters, with the Democratic Coalition at 2 per cent and the Two-Tailed Dog Party at 1 per cent.
The institute said approximately one-quarter of former Fidesz–KDNP voters have switched allegiance to Tisza. It is estimated that 10 per cent of decided voters changed party preference after the election, almost entirely involving movement between the two largest parties, while smaller parties retained support levels similar to their election results.
‘Nearly two-thirds of respondents agreed that these senior officials should resign, while 28 per cent disagreed’
The survey also asked respondents whether public office holders elected under the former Fidesz two-thirds parliamentary majority—including President Tamás Sulyok and the heads of the Curia, the Competition Authority and the Constitutional Court—should resign following calls from Prime Minister Péter Magyar for them to step down.
Nearly two-thirds of respondents agreed that these senior officials should resign, while 28 per cent disagreed.
Among Tisza voters, support for resignations was almost unanimous at 98 per cent. Only 8 per cent of Fidesz–KDNP voters supported the idea, although Republikon noted that the governing conservative bloc’s electorate appeared more divided than previously. About one-third of Fidesz supporters, while generally opposing resignations, did not reject the possibility outright.
The institute cautioned that the smaller sample size for Our Homeland Movement supporters means conclusions should be treated carefully, though their voters appeared generally more aligned with Fidesz positions on the issue.
The survey also found signs of retrospective voting bias one month after the election. Six percentage points more respondents now recall having voted for Tisza than actually did so in April, while six percentage points fewer claim to have voted for Fidesz–KDNP. Republikon said these smaller discrepancies largely remain within the poll’s margin of error.
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